China’s 5 Dangerous Points Due to Dictatorship

Professor David Shambaugh, a famous Chinese scholar at George Washington University predicts that the Communist Party of China (CCP)’s endgame has begun in his paper of The Coming Chinese Crackup in the Wall Street Journal recently.

Such predictions of the CCP’s collapse have been proven wrong in the past, and was banned to be spread in mainland China.

Professor Shambaugh listed five indicators that point to China’s coming collapse.

First, he asserts that wealthy Chinese are fleeing China.

The second indicator is increasing political repression and CCP insecurity. “If the Party opens up, then civil society will rise up and overthrow the regime; if the Party continues to be repressive, it will breed insecurity, which will cause its collapse.” He said.

Third, Prof. Shambaugh argues that Chinese officials come across as wooden and bored.

Shambaugh’s final argument is that the Chinese economy is slowing.

He seems to believe that a slowing economy will lead to widespread grievances, which in turn will lead to civil unrest.

This will lead to the collapse of the regime. Arguably, this is what fueled the Arab Spring and may be applied to China today.

Implicit in Shambaugh’s argument is the claim that China and the CCP will collapse unless they adopt We stern-style liberal democracy.